TOP News: China Details 2008 Bearing Exports

伊凡

7 x" y; {( M3 s2 n7 y- w& ^The government of China, General Administration of Customs, via the state-controlled Xinhua news, has released data covering its exports of all types of bearings, for December 2008 and the full year.
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China's state-volunteered export data is notoriously inaccurate, tending to dramatically understate both the quantity and value. Although the specific numbers may be suspect, the data does offer insight to general trends in volume, growth, and pricing which have proven valuable in terms of general industry analysis.

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Export data for December 2008 [/td]

count [td]218,770,000 bearings [/td]

total value USD [td]$155.1 million [/td]

average value USD [td]$0.709 [/td]

[/td]

Compared to November 2008 [/td]

count [td]197,430,000 bearings [/td]

total value USD [td]$153.5 million [/td]

average value USD [td]$0.777 [/td]

[/td]

Compared to October 2008 [/td]

count [td]258,040,000 bearings [/td]

total value USD [td]$176.6 million [/td]

average value USD [td]$0.684 [/td]

[/td]

Compared to September 2008 [/td]

count [td]280,630,000 bearings [/td]

total value USD [td]$195.3 million [/td]

average value USD [td]$0.695

As the export data indicates, the global economic slowdown is having a strong impact on bearing manufacturers in China, masked somewhat by seasonality in the raw numbers. There are also numerous reports that year-end data is subject to many government "adjustments" needed to show production met levels indicated by the central planners.
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Although there is some seasonality apparent in the bearing export data supplied, China's bearing exports are clearly dropping more sharply than in previous years.

July [td]324 million bearings [/td]

August [td]312 million [/td]

September [td]281 million [/td]

October [td]258 million [/td]

November [td]197 million [/td]

December [td]219 million

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0 V1 J9 g3 T* l, E1 `Calendar year 2008

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2008 exports [td]3.349 billion bearings [/td]

2007 exports [td]3.265 billion bearings [/td]

[td]  [/td]

2008 export value [td]$2.06 billion [/td]

2007 export value [td]$1.55 billion

The most telling numbers, however, are eBearing.com's own rolling year-on-year figures for export growth. As 2008 wore on, we calculate China's bearing industry -- almost completely dependent upon exports -- suffered a dramatic slowdown which is reflected in the year-on-year growth rate from 2007:

through June [td]15% [/td]

through July [td]14% [/td]

through August [td]13% [/td]

through September [td]11% [/td]

through October [td]10% [/td]

through November [td]5.5% [/td]

through December year-end [td]2.6%

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幫幫翻譯一下：（方便大家觀賞）
首頁(yè)新聞： 2008年我國(guó)軸承出口的詳情
+ d9 h# p. d+ Z2 I$ t. o  ~: m中共政府,，海關(guān)總署,，通過(guò)國(guó)家控制的新華社報(bào)道,，已公布的數(shù)據(jù)涵蓋其出口各種類型的軸承,，為2008年12月和全年,。
, }8 _; b6 A: W3 Q我國(guó)國(guó)有自愿出口數(shù)據(jù)是出了名的不準(zhǔn)確,，往往大大低估的數(shù)量和價(jià)值。雖然具體數(shù)字可能是犯罪嫌疑人,，并提供更多的數(shù)據(jù)的一般趨勢(shì),，數(shù)量，增長(zhǎng),，價(jià)格已證明有價(jià)值的條款一般行業(yè)分析,。
下面的幾個(gè)表格的標(biāo)題是：（詳見附件）
6 l7 j1 T2 T2 J2 |3 F6 h9 b出口數(shù)據(jù)2008年12月[ /運(yùn)輸署]
3 O" l2 }) W4 E7 G( E5 n( `2 V相較于2008年11月[ /運(yùn)輸署]
相較于2008年10月[ /運(yùn)輸署]
相較于2008年9月[ /運(yùn)輸署]
7 g& Q. [4 Y& S) F! N8 Q& |由于出口數(shù)據(jù)表明，全球經(jīng)濟(jì)放緩是具有強(qiáng)大影響的軸承制造企業(yè),，有些是季節(jié)性蒙面的原始數(shù)字,。還有許多報(bào)告說(shuō)，今年年底的數(shù)據(jù)是受許多政府“調(diào)整”需要查看生產(chǎn)滿足各級(jí)指出,，由中央規(guī)劃者,。
雖然有一些明顯的季節(jié)性出口軸承提供的數(shù)據(jù)，我國(guó)的軸承出口明顯下降數(shù)額大大超過(guò)往年,。
- ^5 @# x  Z- h* {* Y7月[運(yùn)輸署]三萬(wàn)二千四百點(diǎn)〇萬(wàn)軸承[ /運(yùn)輸署]
! W3 u1 g  ?8 Q% D& ^8月[運(yùn)輸署]三萬(wàn)一千二點(diǎn)零零零萬(wàn)[ /運(yùn)輸署]
, H5 t( P8 t$ v# d5 x8 q8 |9月[運(yùn)輸署]二萬(wàn)八千百點(diǎn)〇萬(wàn)[ /運(yùn)輸署]
9 b+ ~, Y/ P+ e10月[運(yùn)輸署]二萬(wàn)五千八點(diǎn)〇 〇 〇萬(wàn)[ /運(yùn)輸署]
11月[運(yùn)輸署]一萬(wàn)九千七百點(diǎn)零零零萬(wàn)[ /運(yùn)輸署]
12月[運(yùn)輸署]二點(diǎn)一九〇億
歷年2008年
2008年出口[運(yùn)輸署]三十三點(diǎn)四九〇億軸承[ /運(yùn)輸署]
2007年出口[運(yùn)輸署]三十二萬(wàn)六千五點(diǎn)〇萬(wàn)軸承[ /運(yùn)輸署]
) m& k3 A( a3 I. q& k% z   [的TD ] [ /運(yùn)輸署]
8 v8 e) V6 e; _) x( n8 H; L! V2008年出口值[運(yùn)輸署]二十〇萬(wàn)六千點(diǎn)零萬(wàn)美元[ /運(yùn)輸署]
! G* X5 t2 n0 R5 P2007年出口值[運(yùn)輸署]一十五萬(wàn)五點(diǎn)零零萬(wàn)美元
( s, a4 |3 J0 {( B% H  \- w& M最有說(shuō)服力的數(shù)字,，然而， eBearing.com自身滾動(dòng)去年同期的數(shù)字為出口增長(zhǎng),。在2008年的推移,，我們會(huì)計(jì)算我國(guó)軸承行業(yè)-幾乎完全依賴出口-遭受滑坡，這反映在去年同期的增長(zhǎng)率從2007年：
. X8 h2 u" [# H) i8 x' ]' X6月[運(yùn)輸署] 15 ％ [ /運(yùn)輸署]
7月[運(yùn)輸署] 14 ％ [ /運(yùn)輸署]
到8月[運(yùn)輸署] 13 ％ [ /運(yùn)輸署]
8 V- ?) A7 c6 z# ?5 g4 h% o到9月[運(yùn)輸署] 11 ％ [ /運(yùn)輸署]
到10月[運(yùn)輸署] 10 ％ [ /運(yùn)輸署]
6 M, p) F+ N0 c! B( c到11月[運(yùn)輸署] 5.5 ％ [ /運(yùn)輸署]
7 o' N  p4 o% w8 U* m到12月,，今年年底[運(yùn)輸署] 2.6 ％
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